Risk & Early Warning

Anomaly Detection & Fraud Prevention

Early-warning systems that spot problems before they grow — without crying wolf

Leakage, errors and breakdowns rarely appear out of nowhere — they leave traces in your data days earlier. Anomaly detection learns a statistical model of “normal”, catches those traces and raises the deviation before anyone opens a report.

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Overview

What is anomaly detection, and why not just write rules?

Rules (“alert on refunds above 3,000 TL”) only catch what you already imagined; anyone who knows the threshold stays under it, and when volumes change the rule drowns you in false alarms. Anomaly detection instead learns a profile of normal behaviour from history — by branch, hour, product and season — then scores meaningful deviations from it. New abuse patterns nobody predicted get caught, while seasonal swings stop generating noise.

Learns normal behaviour from your data
Catches new and unknown patterns too
Threshold calibration that cuts false alarms
An explanation and evidence for every alert
E-mail, SMS and dashboard notifications
Runs alongside your existing rules

How it works

How does it work?

01

Collect the data

Transaction, sensor, POS or log data is put on a regular feed, with historical periods loaded as reference.

02

Learn what is normal

The model derives the expected behaviour range across breakdowns such as branch, hour, product and season.

03

Scoring & thresholds

Every record gets a risk score, and thresholds are calibrated together based on how many alerts you can actually review.

04

Alert & feedback

Alerts reach the right team with their rationale, and “true/false alarm” feedback sharpens the model.

Scope

What the solution includes

Risk scoring

Each transaction or event is scored 0–100 so the team works down from the riskiest.

Explainable alerts

Each alert shows which signals triggered it — “why did this fire?” always has an answer.

Real-time notification

Critical anomalies reach the responsible manager instantly by e-mail, SMS or WhatsApp.

False-alarm management

Team feedback and seasonality modelling steadily reduce unnecessary alerts.

Rules and models together

Your existing business rules stay in place; the model adds the patterns they cannot catch.

Case review & audit trail

Every alert opens as a case, recording who reviewed it and what was decided.

Industry Use Cases

How is it used, and in which industries?

“Abnormal” means something different in every industry — a till shortfall here, a vibrating bearing there. The setups we build most often:

Retail & Chain Stores

Till, refund and discount abuse

Voids, refunds and manual discounts are tracked by cashier, hour and store, flagging behaviour that stands apart from peers.

Loss-prevention audits become targeted instead of random sampling.
Finance & Payments

Suspicious transaction and fraud detection

Combinations of amount, time, device and location that deviate from a customer’s usual profile are scored instantly.

Suspicious activity can be stopped before the loss grows.
Manufacturing

Quality drift and predictive maintenance

Machine sensors and quality measurements are monitored to catch pre-failure drift and rising scrap rates early.

Unplanned downtime and scrap costs go down.
Logistics & Fleet

Fuel leakage and route deviation

Fuel use, distance, load and route data are compared per vehicle, flagging consumption that cannot be explained.

Leakage in the fuel budget becomes visible.
Facilities & Energy

Abnormal consumption and leak tracking

Electricity, water and gas use is monitored per building and floor, reporting deviations such as consumption rising in an empty building overnight.

Water leaks and idling equipment are noticed days earlier.
IT & Cyber Security

Log and access anomalies

Access at unusual hours or from unusual locations and abnormal data-download volumes are detected.

Insider data leaks and compromised accounts surface early.

Typical Gains

Dakikalar
Time between event and alert
%40–60
False-alarm reduction after calibration
12 ay
Typical history needed to train
3–6 hafta
To the first working alert pipeline

Figures show typical ranges from comparable projects; actual results depend on your data quality and processes.

Integration

It works alongside your existing systems

ERP & muhasebePOS sistemleriSCADA / IoT sensörleriAraç takip (GPS)Sayaç & enerji izlemeSIEM & log kaynaklarıSQL veritabanlarıBI panelleri

Let's talk about the right solution for you

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FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

Twelve months is ideal so the model can learn seasonality. We can start with less; the model builds a rough baseline first and sharpens as data accumulates.

Related Pages

Let’s find the deviations hiding in your data

A short analysis on your historical data shows what the system would catch — before any deployment.